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Prof. Dr. Didier Sornette Dynamical risk management and dragon-kings: prediction and response to wild world  Farewell lecture at 17.15 - 18.30 Location Zürich Zentrum, HG F30    

New discoveries, inventions, and innovations — ideas — are at the heart of scientific progress and economic growth. But that means a growing economy depends on an accelerating production of new ideas. In this week’s episode of “Political Economy,” I’m joined by Didier Sornette to talk about where these ideas come from, why they’ve been in decline, and what we can do to foster greater scientific knowledge and a growing economy.

From 1966 to 1976, four large earthquakes shook the Bohai Bay rift basin of Northeast China. This prompted the Chinese to launch one of the world’s largest social and science experiments into earthquake prediction that would engage tens of thousands of common people. 

Didier Sornette in an Interview with the Financial Times China

Are ‘Flows of Ideas’ and `Research Productivity' in secular decline?  invited talk at the Workshop on AI and the Productivity of Science

Top ten economists influencing Switzerland.

Link to full article:

Didier Sornette has just been elected a full Member of Academia Europaea ("class of August 2020’’)

Wie die Gesellschaft Risiken wahrnimmt (Prof. Didier Sornette) Die weltweite Aufregung rund um das neuartige Coronavirus stehe in keinem Verhältnis zu den Tatsachen, sagt der bekannte Risikoforscher und Physiker Didier Sornette im Gespräch mit Thomas Fuster und Gerald Hosp

Achieving Human-Earth Sustainability A New Way Forward Presented at WEF Davos by Prof. Dr. Didier Sornette, Dr. Peter Cauwels

Dmitry Chernov and Didier Sornette, Critical Risks of Different Economic Sectors (Based on the Analysis of More Than 500 Incidents, Accidents and Disasters) Springer (2020)

Prof. Didier Sornette has just been elected as a full member of the SATW, the Swiss Academy of Engineering Sciences (Schweizerische Akademie der Technischen Wissenschaften). See https://www.satw.ch/

Horizons - The Swiss Research Magazine - Didier Sornette uses physics to analyse financial markets, epidemics and the risk of industrial accidents. No subject seems to frighten this universal-minded researcher, who even shares his fitness theory.

D’après une étude de l’EPFZ, les marchés avaient en main suffisamment d’informations pour comprendre que le «oui» allait l’emporter. Or, pris dans une sorte de bulle du «remain», ils ont mis bien plus de temps à réagir qu’ils ne l’auraient dû. Cela remet en cause la théorie de l’efficience des marchés et montre que les traders ont raté des possibilités de gains

Euan Mearns and Didier Sornette compare Electricity Technologies: nuclear power, combined cycle gas and hydroelectric power at the top Diplomatic Courrier (a global affairs media network), SOAS, University of London, 26 November 2018 article for G20 / B20 / W20 summits Argentina, Diplomatic Courier magazine

The idea that democracy is under threat, after being largely dormant for at least 40 years, is looming increasingly large in public discourse. Complex systems theory offers a range of powerful new tools to analyse the stability of social institutions in general, and democracy in particular.

Risikoinformationsdefizite sind oft die Ursache von menschgemachten Katastrophen. Wie es dazu kommt, und was zu ändern wäre. von Dmitry Chernov und Didier Sornette, SCHWEIZER MONAT 1061 NOVEMBER 2018

(Diagnostic as of 2018-Q2). Where do real estate bubbles exist in Switzerland and how will the market develop?  

Reviews future options and strategies for low-carbon energy systems Makes a detailed risk and benefit analysis to compare the real economic, environmental and societal costs of nuclear, renewable and fossil energies Formulates the demanding criteria for taming nuclear risks by excluding mechanisms that lead to serious accidents by design

Le marché immobilier en Suisse: enjeux et perspectives Perspectives pour l’immobilier dans le contexte de la finance et de l’économie mondiale (Didier Sornette)

New Bubble Theory (Via Bitcoin)

Didier Sornette in an interview with CNN Money Switzerland

Japanese version (only in Japanese), August 28, 2017

Dr. Diego Andres Ardila Alvarez received the Zurich Dissertation Prize 2017 for his outstanding doctoral thesis entitled: "Dynamic approaches to real estate bubbles: methods and empirical studies".

Interview

by Didier Sornette

Letter in The Economist, March 4th 2017

Diagnostics of global financial markets and economies: the cradle of bubbles what does it bode for the future?

Presentation on nuclear risks and quantification of cost-benefit and cost-safety analysis

Nicht der optimale Weg

A clarification of former results (discussed in MTEC NEWS), and new ones, within the context of the upcoming referendum on nuclear power in Switzerland.

(Diagnostic as of 2016-Q2). Where do real estate bubbles exist in Switzerland and how will the market develop?  

Another Fukushima-sized-accident remains plausible

Publication by Springer of our book "Man-made Catastrophes and Risk Information Concealment (25 case studies of major disasters and human fallibility)"

"On the probability of predicting future Fukushima’s"

Prof. Didier Sornette presented a keynote entitled "Safety and Reliability in Dragon-Kings’ Lair"

(Diagnostic as of 2015-Q2). Where do real estate bubbles exist in Switzerland and how will the market develop?

This document fleshes out the arguments supporting the concept that the Swiss economic and geopolitical model together with the systemic structural weakness of Europe in particular warrants the creation of a Swiss Sovereign Fund.    

The proposal "A civil super-Apollo project in nuclear research for a safer and prosperous world"

(Diagnostic as of 2014-Q4). Where do real estate bubbles exist in Switzerland and how will the market develop?

Prof. Didier Sornette  

From 4-6 September 2014, Didier Sornette contributed to the Architect Biennials in Venice, in the Salon Suisse on (i) "Design – The Nature of Cities", (ii) "Systems, People and Power",  and (iii) "Scale, progress and durability". It was curated by Hiromi Hosoya and Markus Schaefer and sponsored by the Swiss Art Council, ProHelvetia.

(Diagnostic as of 2014-Q2). Where do real estate bubbles exist in Switzerland and how will the market develop? An analysis of more than one million listings of houses and flats for sale carried out every six months by ETH Zurich and comparis.ch provides a look into the future.

N.N. Taleb (NY University), D. Sornette (ETH Zurich) and D. Riordan (CEO Zurich Global Corporate) debate the origin and appropriate response to systemic risks and financial fragility at the Zurich meets New York Festival, New York, 22 May 2014.

(Diagnostic as of 2013-Q4). Where do real estate bubbles exist in Switzerland and how will the market develop? An analysis of more than one million listings of houses and flats for sale carried out every six months by ETH Zurich and comparis.ch provides a look into the future.

Prof. Sornette was elected for scientifically or socially distinguished efforts on behalf of the advancement of science or its applications.